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- A measure of the likelihood of an event occurring
- P(A) is the probability of A occurring
- Theoretical Probability: theory probability, e.g. 50% chance of getting a tails in a coin flip
number of possible resultsP(A)
- Experimental Probability: Probability from results, e.g. from the results, you might only get a tails 48 times out of 100. See relative frequency.
Set Notation
Notation | Meaning |
---|
A | Set of elements in A |
U | Universal set - all elements in consideration |
A’ or A | Complement of A - Elements not in A |
A∩B | Intersection of A and B - elements in both A and B |
A∪B | Union of A and B - elements in A or B (or both) |
n(A) | Number of elements in A |
∅ | Empty set |
- n(A) can also be written as |A|
- P(B|A) is the probability of B given A has occurred
P(B∣A)=P(A)P(B∩A)
- Relative frequency of A:
number of trials conductednumber of trials A occurs≈P(A)
- Independence Test; An event is independent if: P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B)
P(A∣B)=P(A)
- Mutually Exclusive Events: 2 events are mutually exclusive (can’t occur at the same time) if: P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)$$$$P(A \cap B)=0
- Multiplication Rule: P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B∣A)
- Addition Rule
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)
P(A∩B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∪B)